Economic Overview

The Algerian economy is mainly driven by hydrocarbons and public investment, with the former accounting for 40% of GDP, 94% of exports and one-third of fiscal revenues. In 2022, the country benefited from high energy prices and the increased demand from Europe that followed the EU sanctions against Russia, resulting in a GDP growth of 3.2%. The positive trend continued in 2023, when economic growth reached 4.2%, underpinned by robust activity in the hydrocarbon, industry, construction, and services sectors. For 2024 and 2025, GDP growth is forecasted to decelerate marginally to 3.1% and 2.5%, respectively, amid lower hydrocarbon prices (IMF). Private consumption, constituting 42% of GDP, is anticipated to make a positive contribution, largely sustained by government-introduced social support measures for households.

In recent years, continued large fiscal and external current account deficits have reduced policy space as public debt increased significantly and international reserves declined (IMF). During 2022 and 2023, the windfall hydrocarbon revenues failed to counterbalance the additional expenditures aimed at supporting the economy, resulting in a continual widening of the government deficit, which stood at 9% of GDP last year. Among the top-priority expenditures, the government plans to fund a 47-50% raise in public sector workers' salaries from 2023 to 2024, an augmentation in retirement allowances for the least affluent, an expansion of unemployment benefits, and a doubling of the defence budget, which will result in high deficits in 2024 (6.8%) and 2025 (6.3%) as per the IMF. The debt-to-GDP ratio was estimated at 55.1% in 2023 (from 55.6% one year earlier) and is expected to follow an upward trend over the forecast horizon, reaching 63.9% by 2025. The average annual inflation remained high at 9% in 2023, driven primarily by elevated prices of fresh food. Despite an appreciation in the exchange rate, which has helped mitigate imported inflation, monetary policy remains accommodative. In April, the central bank increased reserve requirements and intensified liquidity absorption in the banking sector, but inflationary pressures persist. The new Government Action Plan comprises a wide range of reforms to support the transition towards a more diversified and sustainable economy and bolster governance and social cohesion, for example focusing on the mining sector (iron, phosphate). Moreover, the country is looking for ways to reduce its dependence on gas for power generation by investing in solar energy.

According to the World Bank’s estimates, unemployment hit 11.6% of the population in 2022 (latest data available). Unemployment is highest among youth, women and graduates due to skills mismatch in the labour market. Algeria has a low GDP per capita, estimated at USD 13,682 in 2023 by the IMF (PPP). There are also big differences between living conditions in cities and rural areas, and instability caused by radical groups on Algeria's borders remains a risk factor.

Foreign Trade

Algeria has an open economy in which foreign trade represents 59% of GDP (World Bank). Natural gas and petroleum products account for nearly all exports: in 2022, hydrocarbons covered 89.8% of the total volume of exports (41% natural gas, 30.3% crude oil and 15.4% motor fuels). The remaining exports (10.2%) consisted of derivatives from the oil and gas industries (fertilizers, ammonia, oils from tar distillation), as well as agro-food products (dates, sugar). As per imports, four product groups contribute to over one-third of the total: food products (16%, primarily cereals and dairy); industrial equipment goods (10.9%); plastic products (7.3%); and electrical equipment goods (5.1% - data French Ministry of the Economy). According to the National Centre of the Trade Register (CNRC), in 2022 the number of exporters rose to 5,498 operators against 4,749 at the end of 2021.

Data from the French Ministry of the Economy show that France was the third-largest customer of Algeria in 2022, accounting for 10.5% of the total, behind Italy (32.3%) and Spain (12%); whereas China was the top supplier with a market share of 18.6%, followed by France (14%) and Italy (7.7%). To boost its foreign trade, Algeria signed several trade agreements, as well as  ratifying the Agreement on the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) in 2019 in Accra, Ghana. The agreement allows interested states to benefit from the progressive elimination of tariff barriers for a period of five years from its entry into force in July 2020. The agreement aims to free African states from dependence on the extraction of raw materials and promote inter-African trade.

While the trade balance was historically positive, the surplus has vanished completely since late 2012 and the country has had a trade deficit since 2014. This reduction was due to a sharp fall in hydrocarbon exports. Incomes have also decreased drastically with the fall of oil prices. Nevertheless, such a trend reversed in 2021 thanks to the uptick in energy prices and it improved further in 2022 as Algeria benefited from the consequences of the EU sanctions towards Russia, which led to an increase in European hydrocarbon imports from Algeria. Data from the World Bank shows that the country’s trade balance was positive by an estimated 11.6% of GDP in 2022. In the same year, exports of goods increased by 58% year-on-year, reaching USD 60.9 billion; whereas imports grew at a much slower pace (+4.1%, at USD 39 billion). In terms of services, the country exported the equivalent of USD 3.5 billion and imported USD 8.3 billion (data WTO). According to preliminary figures from the government, as of the end of September 2023, Algeria's hydrocarbon export revenues reached approximately USD 38 billion, with an average oil price of 82 dollars per barrel. In 2022, hydrocarbon export revenues were around USD 59.5 billion, with an average barrel price of 104 dollars.

COVID-19 Country Response

Travel restrictions

Regularly updated travel information for all countries with regards to Covid-19 related entry regulations, flight bans, test and vaccines requirements is available on TravelDoc Infopage.
To find information about the current travel regulations, including health requirements, it is also advised to consult Travel Regulations Map provided and updated on a daily basis by IATA.

Import & export restrictions

A general overview of trade restrictions which were adopted by different countries during the COVID-19 pandemic is available on the International Trade Centre's COVID-19 Temporary Trade Measures webpage.

Economic recovery plan

ent, consult the dedicated page on the KPMG website.
For updates on the key economic policy responses to the COVID-19 outbreak (fiscal, monetary and macroeconomic) undertaken by the Algerian government, please consult the country's dedicated section in the IMF’s Policy Tracker platform.

Support plan for businesses

For an evaluation of impact of the Covid pandemic on SMEs and an inventory of country responses to foster SME resilience, refer to the OECD's SME Covid-19 Policy Responses document.
You can also consult the World Bank's Map of SME-Support Measures in Response to COVID-19.